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ACNH Move Out Calculator
Predict which villager will ask to leave next in Animal Crossing: New Horizons
📝 Level 1 — Base friendship when moved in
🎁 Level 2 — Can give daily gifts
💬 Level 3 — Can give nickname & sell items
📢 Level 4 — Can change catchphrase
🖼️ Level 5 — Can change greeting, chance for photo
🏃 Level 6 — Runs up to buy items from you
🎯 Most Likely to Move Out
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Probability based on friendship levels and exclusions
📊 Move Out Probability Chart
How the ACNH Move Out Calculator Works
In Animal Crossing: New Horizons, villagers decide to move out based on a complex probability system. This calculator uses the official game mechanics to predict which villager is most likely to ask to leave next.
Key Factors That Affect Move Out Probability
- Friendship Level: Villagers with lower friendship (Level 1-2) have significantly higher move-out chances. Level 6 villagers are very unlikely to ask to move.
- Exclusion Rules: The most recent move-in villager cannot ask to leave. Villagers whose birthday was in the last 7 days are also excluded.
- Player Count: Move-out chance is calculated using average friendship across all players on the island.
- Minimum Villagers: You need at least 6 villagers for move-out to trigger.
How to Determine Friendship Level
Use the guide above to estimate each villager's friendship level. If you're unsure, select "Unknown" — the calculator will use a neutral value that still provides meaningful probabilities.
Exclusion Conditions Explained
- Last Move-In: The most recent villager to move to your island cannot ask to leave
- Recent Move-Out Request Denied: If you told a villager to stay, they won't ask again for a while
- Birthday Exclusion: Villagers with birthdays in the last 7 days are excluded
- House Relocation: Villagers currently moving their house cannot ask to leave